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Investor Sentiment Survey

2H 2022 – Investor Sentiment Survey Results

September 6, 2022 by Marcus & Millichap Research Services

New Investor Sentiment Survey Results for 2H 2022

Investor Sentiment Modestly Retracts in Second Half

  • Investor sentiment dipped 11 points in 2H 2022, reminiscent of 2016
  • Interest rates and inflation ranked as top two concerns

Investor Decisions Not Curtailed by Economic Headwinds

  • Rising interest rates only modestly tapering buyer intent
  • Most investors indicated they would not change their investment decisions based on elevated inflation

Investors Divided on Rate Hikes Impact on Cap Rates

  • Half of investors believe cap rates will rise, but half expect them to remain stable or fall
  • Sentiment suggests activity going into 2023 will remain strong by historical standards

*Trailing 12 months through 2Q
Includes Apartment, Retail, Office and Industrial sales $1 million and greater
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, CoStar Group, Inc., Real Capital Analytics, M&M/WMRE Investor Survey

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Filed Under: Investor Sentiment Survey

CRE Investments – The Insider’s Perspective

March 28, 2022 by Marcus & Millichap Research Services

Investor Perspectives on the Value of Commercial Real Estate

Investors See Opportunities in Pandemic-Impacted Sectors

  • Despite uncertainty around return-to-office, Office absorption has been positive & rising for 3 quarters
  • Investors expect 2.4% Y-O-Y Office price appreciation
  • Loosening COVID mandates & strong growth trajectory has investors projecting 3.7% rise in Retail values

Underlying Trends Will Continue to Drive CRE Appreciation

  • Housing shortage has 43% of Apartment investors saying it’s a good time to buy; Anticipate 8.6% price climb
  • While 40% of all investors think it’s time to buy Industrial, 58% of owners think the same; Expect 7.4% value rise
  • Supply shortages to sustain warehouse demand

Insiders’ Insights Provide Unique CRE Opportunities

  • Certain Hotel types performing near pre-COVID levels, creates expectation of 7.3% value gain over the next year
  • Record-low vacancies & subdued construction pipeline has Self-Storage investors forecasting 6.4% value gain
  • Consolidation trends and strong demographics create expectation of 9% value gain for Seniors Housing

*As of 1H 2022
Base: All respondents; bases vary by property type currently invested in.
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, M&M/WMRE Investor Survey

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Filed Under: Research Brief, Investor Sentiment Survey

Investor Sentiment Survey Results | 2021 Second Half

August 30, 2021 by Marcus & Millichap Research Services

New Investor Sentiment Survey Results for 2H 2021:

Strong Sentiment Points to Positive CRE Outlook

  • Investor sentiment remained stable at 165, in-line with pre-pandemic levels; above 140 from this time last year
  • About 74% of respondents say their properties are performing at or better than pre-COVID levels
  • Half of respondents plan to increase their CRE holdings as values are expect to rise for all property types

Economic Recovery Expected to Drive CRE Appreciation

  • Seniors Housing expected to see largest YOY gain at 7.5% due to a post-pandemic occupancy recovery
  • Industrial benefited from rise in eCommerce and “Just In Case” inventory; investors anticipate 7.4% price growth
  • Apartments, Self-storage, and Hotels also expect strong gains; driven by rent growth and economic recovery

Potential Headwinds Could Reshape CRE Landscape

  • Changes to tax law, rising interest rates and elimination of 1031 Exchanges remain top investor concerns
  • Despite elevated uncertainty, investor sentiment remains higher than 4 out of the last 5 years

As of 2H 2021
Base: All respondents; bases vary by property type currently invested in.
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, M&M/WMRE Investor Survey

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Filed Under: Investor Sentiment Survey Tagged With: #investors, #multifamily #economicoutlook #investors, commercial investments, commercial real estate, CRE, dollar general investments, investmentproperties, yields

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This information has been secured from sources we believe to be reliable, but we make no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of the information. References to square footage or age are approximate. Buyer must verify the information and bears all risk for any inaccuracies. Any projections, opinions, assumptions or estimates used herein are for example purposes only and do not represent the current or future performance of the property. Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services is a service mark of Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services, Inc. © 2020 Marcus & Millichap and Limon Net Lease Group

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