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Archives for January 2023

Three Factors Driving Investor Uncertainty

January 30, 2023 by Marcus & Millichap Research Services

What Factors Are Driving Uncertainty in CRE Markets?

Prolonged Inflation and Rate Hikes Present Recession Risk

  • Inflation and aggressive fed rate hikes have eased, making a 25 bps rate hike likely at the Feb. 1 meeting
  • Although recession risk has moderated, roughly 50% of economists still expect a recession during 2023

Despite Tech Layoffs, Labor Market Still Exceptionally Tight

  • Attention grabbing headlines surrounding layoffs at Microsoft, Google, and others can foster uncertainty, but the unemployment rate remains at a 50-year low
  • Overall, the U.S. economy added nearly 225,000 new jobs in December, and still has over 10.5M job openings

What This Means For CRE Markets

  • If the economy can avoid a major recession in 2023, a shift in sentiment could lead to a revival of apartment, retail, and industrial space demand
  • Underlying data paints a more positive picture than some of the sensationalist media coverage

*Unemployed through December; Job openings through November
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, BLS

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Filed Under: Research Brief

Best Property Types on a Five Year Horizon

January 23, 2023 by Marcus & Millichap Research Services

Where Are The Best Opportunities within CRE Markets

Apartment and Medical Office Buoyed By Fundamentals

  • While apartment vacancy rose 190 bps last year and rent growth cooled, the structural shortage of housing in the economy should bolster renter demand I the next 5 years
  • The aging Baby Boomer population will aid demand for medical office space as this cohort advances into their 70’s and 80’s

Retail and Industrial Assets Maintain Strong Performance

  • Both Single and Multi-Tenant retail have performed well exiting the pandemic, with multi-tenant rents up roughly 10% since 2019
  • Industrial assets have some construction risk, but with the majority of new inventory coming online in just 10 metros, it should remain a favored asset for investors

Even Within Hard Hit Segment Opportunities Arise

  • While national office vacancy has yet to recovery from the effects of remote work, suburban office space have outperformed expectations
  • Investors should look past any bumps in the road and consider where things well be at 5 years down the road when making decisions

*Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services

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Filed Under: Research Brief

How the Labor Market is Impacting the Economy

January 16, 2023 by Marcus & Millichap Research Services

  • Looking forward into 2023, which key indicators should investors watch?
  • How could the Fed’s decision in February impact the CRE market?
  • Why the Fed’s labor shortage battle influences CRE space demand

Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services

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Filed Under: Research Brief

What’s in Store For Investors in 2023?

January 9, 2023 by Marcus & Millichap Research Services

  • Have inflationary pressures started to abate?
  • How will the Fed respond in the first few months of 2023?
  • Which economic signals should CRE investors keep their eyes on?

Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services

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Filed Under: Research Brief

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This information has been secured from sources we believe to be reliable, but we make no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of the information. References to square footage or age are approximate. Buyer must verify the information and bears all risk for any inaccuracies. Any projections, opinions, assumptions or estimates used herein are for example purposes only and do not represent the current or future performance of the property. Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services is a service mark of Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services, Inc. © 2020 Marcus & Millichap and Limon Net Lease Group

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