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The K-Shape Economic Recovery and Impact on Real Estate

September 28, 2020 by Marcus & Millichap Research Services

What’s a K-Shaped Economic Recovery and How Does it Impact Real Estate Investors?

  • Recovery headed toward divergent outlook – “K-Shape” with some sectors reviving & others dragging
  • Trend emerging in employment data:
    – Positive Momentum: Financial Services, Professional & Business Services, Manufacturing, Construction, Education, Health Services and even Retail
    – Stagnant: Restaurants, Hotel/Accommodations, and Entertainment
  • Wide impact by geography too – Reliance on tourism and ability to reopen economies are deciding factors
    – Positive Momentum: Midwestern states and much of the South
    – Stagnant: New York, Massachusetts, California, Nevada and Hawaii
  • These trends influence the commercial real estate outlook – Varied impact by property type
  • Even within property types, wide spectrum by subtype and local market/submarket/neighborhood drivers
  • Current investment landscape is too dynamic and diverse to generalize – Don’t paint with a broad brush
  • Review investors individual assets and tie local market knowledge to their investments

Filed Under: Special Report

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This information has been secured from sources we believe to be reliable, but we make no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of the information. References to square footage or age are approximate. Buyer must verify the information and bears all risk for any inaccuracies. Any projections, opinions, assumptions or estimates used herein are for example purposes only and do not represent the current or future performance of the property. Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services is a service mark of Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services, Inc. © 2020 Marcus & Millichap and Limon Net Lease Group

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