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Three Bold Commercial Real Estate Predictions for 2022

December 20, 2021 by Marcus & Millichap Research Services

Urban Core Recovery To Gain Momentum

  • Slow, but incremental recovery of the urban core; will vary by city’s regulations and pace of return to office
  • Driven by benefits of in-person interactions, return to office will play key role in urban revival
  • Downtown real estate, particularly Office, would benefit

Housing Construction Will Remain Short of Demand

  • Rising construction costs, ongoing labor shortage, and strong housing demand to prolong housing shortage
  • Construction likely concentrated at upper price points and in suburbs, benefiting suburban real estate
  • Higher home prices set to boost Apartment demand

Inflation Likely to Remain Elevated – Fed Walking Tightrope

  • Supply chain disruptions, wage pressure from tight labor market and housing shortages will sustain high inflation
  • Will place more pressure on Fed to further accelerate retreat from bond-buying program and raise interest rates
  • With cap rates expected to fall, the yield spread between interest and cap rates is likely to tighten

*Through November; Core PCE through October; 10-Year Treasury through December 15
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, Federal Reserve, BEA, BLS

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Filed Under: Research Brief

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This information has been secured from sources we believe to be reliable, but we make no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of the information. References to square footage or age are approximate. Buyer must verify the information and bears all risk for any inaccuracies. Any projections, opinions, assumptions or estimates used herein are for example purposes only and do not represent the current or future performance of the property. Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services is a service mark of Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services, Inc. © 2020 Marcus & Millichap and Limon Net Lease Group

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