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What Strong Retail Sales Mean for CRE Investors?

November 22, 2021 by Marcus & Millichap Research Services

Consumer Spending Remains Strong Despite Rising Inflation

  • October retail sales were up 16% YOY; core retail sales were up 15% YOY, and up 21% from pre-pandemic
  • Even accounting for inflation, core retail sales are up nearly 11% YOY, and 16% from before the pandemic
  • Elevated pandemic savings and early holiday shopping likely key factors in strong spending

Online Shopping Major Driver, But In-Store Sales Rising

  • Online sales rose 10% YOY, and 40% since pre-pandemic
  • Inflation-adjusted store sales are up 9% YOY & 14% pre-pandemic; August retail foot traffic just off 2019 levels

Retail Sales Support Commercial Real Estate Performance

  • After initial shock, elevated retail spending is providing positive momentum for Retail sector recovery
  • Online shopping and retailers’ need for additional inventories continue to support Industrial performance

Core retail sales exclude auto and gasoline sales
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, U.S. Census Bureau

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This information has been secured from sources we believe to be reliable, but we make no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of the information. References to square footage or age are approximate. Buyer must verify the information and bears all risk for any inaccuracies. Any projections, opinions, assumptions or estimates used herein are for example purposes only and do not represent the current or future performance of the property. Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services is a service mark of Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services, Inc. © 2020 Marcus & Millichap and Limon Net Lease Group

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